Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MSTR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 114.809615 131.641138 150.649816 173.819096 201.446931 233.521619 273.846793
2026-01-04 95.500130 117.537888 144.690997 181.027914 229.023407 291.165425 379.236125
2026-01-11 82.904905 107.552751 139.983269 186.646641 253.538238 348.322149 497.227348
2026-01-18 73.054434 98.768945 134.412100 188.806376 272.271240 400.018628 619.829858
2026-01-25 65.053888 90.976552 128.488949 188.643762 286.508108 446.811689 746.359820
2026-02-01 57.768361 83.055596 120.972081 184.353667 292.743959 481.098139 860.006997
2026-02-08 51.800703 76.279804 114.137601 179.783065 297.177097 512.477859 976.502401
2026-02-15 46.953575 70.629965 108.274036 175.751366 301.477243 543.963609 1102.142293
2026-02-22 45.505782 70.170454 110.678675 186.205602 334.056828 637.363549 1395.743005
2026-03-01 42.755522 67.251970 108.549577 188.061424 350.210598 700.605960 1641.689072
2026-03-08 40.442965 64.816807 106.938774 190.572012 368.030884 771.701488 1937.137245
2026-03-15 38.039602 61.982339 104.280277 190.613424 380.523031 833.456012 2233.474391
2026-03-22 37.227198 61.955403 106.894604 201.967328 421.261849 978.523766 2870.638616
2026-03-29 36.083997 61.219111 108.095353 210.611738 457.847771 1125.462684 3612.607747
2026-04-05 34.802742 60.094989 108.402181 217.362564 491.425446 1276.022650 4480.628777
2026-04-12 33.198709 58.204417 106.962893 219.959817 514.985617 1405.395866 5367.095544
2026-04-19 31.473342 55.924172 104.481464 219.763982 531.069046 1517.228535 6273.387326
2026-04-26 29.458950 52.910434 100.174190 214.604771 532.247629 1579.757411 6990.434450
2026-05-03 27.599038 50.063040 95.957088 209.113479 531.447564 1635.788997 7732.679044
2026-05-10 25.957973 47.535060 92.197683 204.274199 531.682465 1696.462453 8573.481705
2026-05-17 25.797181 48.019723 95.072252 216.831264 588.705935 2004.183420 11466.807129
2026-05-24 24.867116 46.826570 94.075588 219.063329 613.307618 2190.718502 13787.163391
2026-05-31 24.053648 45.817301 93.400988 222.084295 641.473021 2408.019730 16775.638200